2019 United Kingdom(UK) Conservative Party Leadership Election

2019 United Kingdom Conservative Party Leadership Election

Contents

Introduction

Candidates

Results of Endorsement Primary

Final Polling Average before Parliamentary 1st Ballot

Results of Parliamentary 1st Ballot

Results of Parliamentary 2nd Ballot

Results of Parliamentary 3rd Ballot

Results of Parliamentary 4th Ballot

Results of Parliamentary 5th Ballot

(To Be Continued)

Introduction

Home Secretary - at that time - Theresa May was elected as the new leader of the Conservatives in UK, after the resignation of David Cameron. Obviously, PM David Cameron resigned due to Leave(Brexit) part's narrow & unexpected win in 2016 UK's EU membership referendum - which he stated that he is supporting to remain on EU. Later, May and her Conservative Government was also found in a hard situation. As the result - to make certainty, Ms. May called a snap early general election - which was another general election just in 2 years. However the decision of commoners(=people in UK) showed a very surprising & unexpected results, the Conservatives losing majority and Jeremy Corbyn's Labour gaining more then 30 seats. There was a small talk between senior MPs to kick the PM out, but it just ended in a talk.

Later around late 2018, May's Brexit Plan was starting to be revealed, unfortunately causing a conflict inside the government and Tories. David Davis - the Brexit Secretary(=Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union), Steve Baker - Minister of Department for Exiting the European Union, Boris Johnson - Foreign Minister, Dominic Raab - succeeding Brexit Secretary resigned in anger. Maybe as the cause, the 1st Meaningful Vote on Brexit Plan A was defeated in a historical majority, 202 for Ayes(For) and 432 for Noes(Against) - so by 230 votes. This was because over 1 of 3 Conservative MPs and almost all opposition MPs opposed it.

-Results of 1st Meaningful Vote (1/15)

Registered Voters	642 *
Total Votes	634
Turnout	98.75%
Valid Votes	634
Validout	100.00%

*Includes Sinn Fein MPs but excludes the Speakers and Tellers.

Opinion	Votes	Percentage	In Details
Ayes (For)	202	31.86%	CON 196 + LAB 3 + IND 3
Noes (Against)	432	68.14%	LAB 248 + CON 118 + SNP 35 + Lib Dems 11 + DUP 10 + IND 5 + PC 4 + GRN 1

As with the result which showed a historic defeat for the ruling government, Opposition Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn called a non-confidence vote to impeach May and her ministers. However, the vote was defeated as follows :

-Results of Non-Confidence Vote in May Ministry (1/16)

Registered Voters	642 *
Total Votes	631
Turnout	98.29%
Valid Votes	631
Validout	100.00%

*Includes Sinn Fein MPs but excludes the Speakers and Tellers.

Opinion	Votes	Percentage	In Details
Ayes (For)	306	48.49%	LAB 251 + SNP 35+ Lib Dems 11 + PC 4 + IND 4 + GRN 1
Noes (Against)	325	51.51%	CON 314 + DUP 10 + IND 1

After the narrow survival of May ministry thanks to brexit deal-opposing Conservatives & DUP, the PM had some modifies into the deal and made the Plan B in recompense to them. However, the deal was againly defeated in a huge margain though some changed their minds.

-Results of 2nd Meaningful Vote (3/12)

Registered Voters	642 *
Total Votes	633
Turnout	98.60%
Valid Votes	633
Validout	100.00%

*Includes Sinn Fein MPs but excludes the Speakers and Tellers.

Opinion	Votes	Percentage	In Details
Ayes (For)	242 (+40)	38.23% (+6.37%p)	CON 235 + IND 4 + LAB 3
Noes (Against)	391 (-41)	61.77% (-6.37%p)	LAB 238 + CON 75 + SNP 35 + TIG 11 + Lib Dems 11 + DUP 10 + IND 6 + PC 4 + GRN 1

15 days later, the commoners gathered to vote on indicative motions. Though 8 motions were set to be voted, everything was rejected. After this, May tried to make MPs to vote again on Plan B but failed due to Speaker John Bercow's strong notice. So, the PM's government decided to alter Plan B as Plan C, by changing a bit. She also promised that she would resign if the Withdrawal Agreement passes, but it againly defeated in a quite big margain.

-Results of 3rd Meaningful Vote (3/29)

Registered Voters	642 *
Total Votes	630
Turnout	98.13%
Valid Votes	630
Validout	100.00%

*Includes Sinn Fein MPs but excludes the Speakers and Tellers.

Opinion	Votes	Percentage	In Details
Ayes (For)	286 (+44)	45.40% (+7.17%p)	CON 277 + LAB 5 + IND 4
Noes (Against)	344 (-47)	54.60% (-7.17%p)	LAB 238+ SNP 34 + CON 34 + Lib Dems 11 + TIG 11 + DUP 10 + IND 5 + PC 4 + GRN 1

2 days later, another indicative votes were held but all 4 motions were defeated. During this period of time, there was a agreement talk between the Ruling Party and the Main Opposition but unfortunately it failed at last. Soon after, a strong voice of establishing Government-Direct-Solution grew.

In the date of Third Indicative Votes, the House was busy with discussing on European Union Withdrawal Act of 2019 or Cooper-Letwin Bill. The originally-planned votes were going to be delayed to April 8th, but as there was a saying of abolishing further indicative motion votes. The vote - for holding additional indicative votes - eventually ended in a tie, but the Speaker was in favour of opposing it, so as it was defeated. This was the first situation since 1993, which the tie was broken in a negative way.

-Results of Additional Indicative Motion Vote (4/3)

Registered Voters	643 *
Total Votes	621
Turnout	96.58%
Valid Votes	621
Validout	100.00%

*Includes Sinn Fein MPs but excludes the Deputy Speakers and Tellers.

Opinion	Votes	Percentage
Ayes (For)	310 (<-310)	49.92% (<-50.00%)
Noes (Against)	311 (<-310)	50.08% (<-50.00%)

As the circumstances went worser and worser, Theresa May decided to step down as Tory Leader and Prime Minister. After May's resign announcement, the election race for electing the new Conservative Leader Plus PM started right through. Still, Ms. May will serve the Leadership of Ruling Party, the country or national until the election cycle is over and the succeeder is declared.

The Leader of Conservative Party is elected through at least two rounds of Parliamentary Ballots, and the Party Members' Ballot. At the first and second parliamentary ballot - which the MPs of House of Commons votes on, candidates who received over 17 & 33 votes could pass through the next round. If there is still more then two candidates after this, parliamentary ballot will be continuously held until that situation is made. When the TOP 2 candidates are declared, they'll be put on the Party Members' Ballot and the winner will be soon declared as the new leader.

Candidates

Candidate	Political Career (Recent Four)	Announcement Date	Previous Election Results
Rory Stewart	MP for Penrith & The Border (2010~) International Development Secretary (2019~) Prisons Minister (2018~2019) Africa Minister (2017~2018)	May 2nd	-
Esther McVey	MP for Tatton (2017~) Work & Pensions Secretary (2018) Employment Minister (2013~2015) MP for Wirral West (2010~2015)	May 9th	-
Boris Johnson	MP for Uxbridge & South Ruislip (2015~) Foreign & Commonwealth Affairs Secretary (2016~2018) London Mayor (2008~2016) MP for Henley (2001~2008)	May 16th	141 V / 42.7% (Theresa May)
Jeremy Hunt	MP for South West Surrey (2005~) Foreign & Commonwealth Affairs Secretary (2018~) Health & Social Care Secretary (2012~2018) Culture, Media & Sport Secretary (2010~2012)	May 24th	7 V / 2.1%(Liam Fox)
Matt Hancock	MP for West Suffolk (2010~) Health & Social Care Secretary (2018~) Digital, Culture, Media & Sport Secretary (2018) Digital & Culture Minister (2016~2018)	May 25th	-
Andrea Leadsom	MP for South Northamptonshire (2010~) Leader of House of Commons (2017~2019) Council Lord President (2017~2019) Environment, Food & Rural Affairs Secretary (2016~2017)	May 25th	42 V / 12.7%
Dominic Raab	MP for Esher & Walton (2010~) Brexit Secretary (2018) Housing & Planning Minister (2018) Courts & Justice Minister (2017~2018)	May 25th	-
Michael Gove	MP for Surrey Heath (2005~) Environment, Food & Rural Affairs Secretary (2017~) Justice Secretary (2015~2016) Lord Chancellor (2015~2016)	May 26th	27 V / 8.2%
Sajid Javid	MP for Bromsgrove (2010~) Home Department Secretary (2018~) Housing Communities & Local Government Secretary (2016~2018) Trade Board President (2015~2016)	May 27th	22 V / 6.7% (Stephen Crabb)
Kit Malthouse	MP for North West Hampshire (2015~) Housing & Planning Minister (2018~) London Deputy Mayor for Business & Enterprise (2012~2016) London Deputy Mayor for Policing (2008~2012)	May 27th June 4th (Withdrew)	-
James Cleverly	MP for Braintree (2015~) Brexit Secretary in Parliament (2019~) Deputy Chair of Conservative Party (2018~2019) London Assembly Leader of Conservative Party (2011~2012)	May 29th June 4th (Withdrew)	-
Mark Harper	MP for Forest of Dean (2005~) House of Commons Cheif Whip (2015~2016) Treasury Parliamentary Secretary (2015~2016) Disabled People Minister (2014~2015)	May 30th	-
Sam Gyimah	MP for East Surrey (2010~) Universities, Science, Research & Innovation Minister (2018) Constitution Parliamentary Secretary (2014~2015) Treasury Lord Commissioner (2013~2014)	June 2nd June 10th (Withdrew)	-

Results of Endorsement Primary

Final Polling Average before Parliamentary 1st Ballot

Parliamentary 1st Ballot Results

Parliamentary 2nd Ballot Results

Parliamentary 3rd Ballot Results

Parliamentary 4th Ballot Results

Parliamentary 5th Ballot Results