2019 Denmark(Danish) General Election

Contents

Introduction

Contesting Group

Opinion Polling

Exit Poll

Results

Introduction

On June 5th of 2019, general parliament(Folketing) election was held in most southest Nordic & Scandinavian nation of Denmark(Officially Kingdom of Denmark), also including Greenland and the Faroe Islands-their autonomous territories.

All or 179 seats in the Parliament of Demark would be elected through this election cycle. Out of those, 177 are from the Danish mainland, rest of it are equally divided into the autonomous territories-Greenland, Faroe Islands. Most of the members of parliament(139 MPs) are elected by proportional representation(pr), including the systems of Sainte-Laguë method and Hare quota in 10 large constituencies. The rest of the seats are the ones to balance the results of pr election. In reference, there is a election threshold of 2% in main Denmark.

Contesting Groups

A total of 26 political parties are contesting the election, 13 are from mainland, 6 are from the Islands, and the remaining 7 are from Greenland. In mainland, all parties with a seat (or seats) in the parliament could participate the election and no-seat political groups only can after getting more then 20,109 signatures of registered voters. Otherwise in Faroe Islands and Greenland, only parties that containing at least single seat in the Local Parliaments(Løgting & Inatsisartut) can contest the general election. For reference, Faroe Islands' Center Party refused to participate. As these kind of following register-system, here is the full list of contesting political groups for the 72nd Danish general election.

-Mainland Denmark

Party	Leader	Political Position	Coalition	Last Election Results
A / SD / Social Democrats	Mette Frederiksen	Center-Left	Red	47 S / 924,940 V / 26.3%
O / DPP / Danish People's	Kristian Thulesen Dahl	Far-Right	Blue	37 S / 741,746 V / 21.1%
V / V, DLP / Venstre(Liberals)	Lars Løkke Rasmussen	Center-Right	Blue	34 S / 685,188 V / 19.5%
Ø / E-DRG / Red-Green	Pernille Skipper	Far-Left	Red	14 S / 274,463 V / 7.8%
I / LA / Liberal Alliance	Anders Samuelsen	Right-wing	Blue	13 S / 265,129 V / 7.5%
Å / A / The Alternative	Uffe Elbæk	Center-Left	Green	9 S / 168,788 V / 4.8%
B / RV / Danish Social Liberal	Morten Østergaard	Lean-Left	Red	8 S / 161,009 V / 4.6%
F / SF / Socialist People's	Pia Olsen Dyhr	Left-wing	Red	7 S / 147,578 V / 4.2%
C / DKF / Conservative	Søren Pape Poulsen	Center-Right	Blue	6 S / 118,003 V / 3.4%
K / KD / Christian Democrats	Isabella Arendt	Center	Blue	0 S / 29,077 V / 0.8%
D / NB / The New Right	Pernille Vermund	Far-Right	Blue	(New)
P / SK / Hard Line	Rasmus Paludan	Far-Right	Blue	(New)
E / KRP / Klaus Riskær Pedersen	Klaus Riskær Pedersen	Far-Right	Blue	(New)

-Faroe Islands

Party	Leader	Political Position	Coalition	Last Election Results
E / T / Republic	Høgni Hoydal	Left-wing	Red	1 S / 5,730 V / 24.5%
C / JF / Equality	Aksel V. Johannesen	Center-Left	Red	1 S / 5,666 V / 24.3%
B / SF / Union	Bárður á Steig Nielsen	Center-Right	Blue	0 S / 5,500 V / 23.5%
A / FF / People's	Jørgen Niclasen	Right-wing	Blue	0 S / 4,368 V / 18.7%
F / F / Progress	Poul Michelsen	Center-Right	Blue	0 S / 749 V / 3.2%
D / S / Self Gov.	Jógvan Skorheim	Center	(n/a)	0 S / 403 V / 1.7%

*Center Party not contesting

-Greenland

Party	Leader	Political Position	Coalition	Last Election Results
IA / Community of the People	Sara Olsvig	Left-wing	Red	1 S / 7,904 V / 39.6%
S / Forward	Kim Kielsen	Center-Left	Red	1 S / 7,831 V / 39.2%
D / Democrats	Niels Thomsen	Lean-Right	Blue	0 S / 1,753 V / 8.8%
A / Solidarity / Atassut	Siverth K. Heilmann	Center-Right	Blue	0 S / 1,526 V / 7.6%
PN / Point of Orientation	Hans Enoksen	Center	(n/a)	0 S / 962 V / 4.8%
NQ / Descendants of Our Country	Vittus Qujaukitsoq	Center-Left	(n/a)	(New)
SA / Cooperation	Michael Rosing	Center-Right	Blue	(New)

-Opinion Polling (Only Includes Mainland)

Our Final Polling Average from May 25th to June 4th with-in 33,386 samples is linked to https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cKAZil_iH6X2xKE4GfBpH7Z9pvqBlUHqaExogvy06T4. It shows the Social Democrats-led left Red Coalition leading with 51.42% - which is over half of the votes - still after excluding The Alternatives, who is described as Green Coalition and performing at 3.05%. Oppositely, the current ruling Liberal/Venstre-led right Blue Coalition is back-behind at 45.20%. Independent candidates are projected to get around 0.33% of the valid votes. Here is the chart that shows the primary polling average :

Party	Coalition	Projected Votes	Difference with Last Election
A / SD / Social Democrats	Red	26.87%	-0.59%p
V / V, DLP / Liberal(Venstre)	Blue	19.21%	-0.26%p
O / DPP / Danish People's	Blue	10.64%	-10.44%p
Ø / E-DRG / Red-Green	Red	8.59%	+0.79%p
F / SF / Socialist People's	Red	8.01%	+3.82%p
B / RV / Danish Social Liberal	Red	7.95%	+3.37%p
C / DKF / Conservative	Blue	5.41%	+2.06%p
Å / A / The Alternative	Green	3.05%	-1.75%p
I / LA / Liberal Alliance	Blue	3.00%	-4.53%p
D / NB / The New Right	Blue	2.78%	+2.78%p
P / SK / Hard Line	Blue	2.04%	+2.04%p
K / KD / Christian Democrats	Blue	1.75%	+0.74%p
E / KRP / Klaus Riskær Pedersen	Blue	0.55%	+0.55%p
N-P / IND / Independents	(n/a)	0.33%	+0.25%p

-Exit Poll (TV2-DR, Only Includes Mainland)

Party	Coalition	Projected Votes	Difference with Last Election
A / SD / Social Democrats	Red	25.3%	-2.2%p
V / V, DLP / Liberal(Venstre)	Blue	20.9%	+1.4%p
O / DPP / Danish People's	Blue	9.8%	-11.3%p
Ø / E-DRG / Red-Green	Red	8.8%	-0.6%p
B / RV / Danish Social Liberal	Red	8.8%	+4.2%p
F / SF / Socialist People's	Red	7.4%	+3.2%p
C / DKF / Conservative	Blue	5.9%	+2.5%p
Å / A / The Alternative	Green	3.3%	-1.5%p
I / LA / Liberal Alliance	Blue	3.0%	-4.5%p
K / KD / Christian Democrats	Blue	2.3%	+1.3%p
D / NB / The New Right	Blue	2.0%	+2.0%p
P / SK / Hard Line	Blue	1.8%	+1.8%p
E / KRP / Klaus Riskær Pedersen	Blue	0.7%	+0.7%p
N-P / IND / Independents	(n/a)	0.0%	-0.1%p

-Results

-National Turnout & Validout

	National	Denmark	Faroe Islands	Greenland
Registered Voters	4,298,140 (+76,368)	4,219,537 (+74,432)	37,259 (+1,640)	41,344 (+296)
Total Votes	3,616,341 (+12,401)	3,569,520 (+9,460)	26,206 (+2,840)	20,615 (+101)
Turnout	84.14% (-1.23%p)	84.60% (-1.29%p)	70.33% (+4.73%p)	49.86% (-0.12%p)
Valid Votes	3,577,683 (+15,354)	3,531,720 (+12,733)	25,962 (+2,596)	20,001 (+25)
Validout	98.93% (+0.08%p)	98.94% (+0.09%p)	99.07% (-0.93%p)	97.02% (-0.36%p)

-Mainland Denmark

Party	Political Position	Coalition	Seats	Votes	Vote Share	Difference
A / SD / Social Democrats	Center-Left	Red	48 (+1)	914,882	25.90%	-1.56%p
V / V, DLP / Liberal(Venstre)	Center-Right	Blue	43 (+9)	826,161	23.39%	+3.92%p
O / DPP / Danish People's	Far-Right	Blue	16 (-21)	308,512	8.73%	-12.35%p
B / RV / Danish Social Liberal	Lean-Left	Red	16 (+8)	304,714	8.63%	+4.05%p
F / SF / Socialist People's	Left-wing	Red	14 (+7)	272,304	7.71%	+3.52%p
Ø / E-DRG / Red-Green	Far-Left	Red	13 (-1)	245,100	6.94%	-0.86%p
C / DKF / Conservative	Center-Right	Blue	12 (+6)	233,865	6.62%	+3.27%p
Å / A / The Alternative	Center-Left	Green	5 (-4)	104,278	2.95%	-1.85%p
D / NB / The New Right	Far-Right	Blue	4 (+4)	83,201	2.36%	+2.36%p
I / LA / Liberal Alliance	Right-wing	Blue	4 (-9)	82,270	2.33%	-5.20%p
P / SK / Hard Line	Far-Right	Blue	0 (+0)	63,114	1.79%	+1.79%p
K / KD / Christian Democrats	Center	Blue	0 (+0)	60,944	1.75%	+0.72%p
E / KRP / Klaus Riskær Pedersen	Far-Right	Blue	0 (+0)	29,600	0.83%	+0.83%p
N-P / IND / Independents	Mixed	(n/a)	0 (+0)	2,774	0.07%	-0.01%p

-Faroe Islands

Party	Political Position	Coalition	Seats	Votes	Vote Share	Difference
B / SF / Union	Center-Right	Blue	1	7,349	28.31%	+4.77%p
C / JF / Equality	Center-Left	Red	1	6,630	25.54%	+1.29%p
A / FF / People's	Right-wing	Blue	0	6,181	23.81%	+5.12%p
E / T / Republic	Left-wing	Red	0	4,830	18.60%	-5.92%p
F / F / Progress	Center-Right	Blue	0	639	2.46%	-0.75%p
D / S / Self Gov.	Center	(n/a)	0	333	1.28%	-0.44%p

-Greenland

Party	Political Position	Coalition	Seats	Votes	Vote Share	Difference
IA / Community of the People	Left-wing	Red	1	6,881	34.40%	-5.17%p
S / Forward	Center-Left	Red	1	6,058	30.29%	-8.91%p
D / Democrats	Lean-Right	Blue	0	2,262	11.31%	+2.53%p
NQ / Descendants of Our Country	Center-Left	(n/a)	0	1,616	8.08%	+8.08%p
PN / Point of Orientation	Center	(n/a)	0	1,565	7.82%	+3.01%p
A / Solidarity / Atassut	Center-Right	Blue	0	1,099	5.49%	-2.15%p
SA / Cooperation	Center-Right	Blue	0	520	2.60%	+2.60%p